Wednesday, November 11, 2009

09-11-11 New SPX Count

I guess the game plan went down the toilet. When we breached the previous high of 1101 this morning, that invalidated the previous count that we had. This market had me believe that P3 was in session because of the impulsive move down specified in my previous post. I guess that didn't play out well. I have a new count as of the moment but I'm not sure if this is going to play out. Only time will tell.



The reason why I used this count is because I called the expanded flat correction back in W.B (bold and blue). I was like why not use the exact same wave configuration for W.C's internals? I will maintain my original targets of 1110 - 1121. This perfectly aligns with the parallel channel shown in the picture above.

Good luck to all!

Sunday, November 1, 2009

Game Plan

As much as I want the market to crash right now, I think that my wishes will not be granted as fast as I want it to happen. Therefore I'm creating a game plan just in case you weren't able to jump into some shorts and want to do so. Of course this is assuming that the market rallies first thing tomorrow morning. Here is the big picture:


Here is a zoomed in picture:



Let's say that the market already completed a wave 1 because we already printed a 5 wave decline on the hourly chart. Please see previous blog post on this. Since I'm assuming that we are in primary wave 3, I don't think that the counter-trend rallies will have much power. I expect the market to retrace between the fib levels of 38.2% to 50% (1059.35 - 1067.37). If it was me, I will get the initial 50% short position on the 38.2% retracement level while going fully short on the 50% retracement level. I expect this to happen in Nov.4 or Nov. 5. Stops will be placed slightly above the 61.8% retracement level. (1076) I don't think that the 2nd wave should go this far.

So this is the game plan for this week. Of course I wouldn't mind if we head down further. If this happens, all fib levels will change. Good luck!

My Very Good Friends' Blogs

Ryan Sanden
Chang Xu
Chris Sebastian - When are you going to join the bandwagon?

Please check out their blogs as well. You wouldn't be disappointed.